Posted by Matt Olson

WR Fantasy Stats vs Zone & Man Defenses Through Week 6

October 21, 2022

Here’s a look at the Zone and Man defense graphs through Week 6. Made the minimum a 15% target share as we want to find players with strong opportunities that are involved in their offenses. Not guys who happen to catch a few passes for long gains by chance. The two teams with the most Zone coverage played are on bye this week; the Rams and Vikings.

PFF Man Coverage Chart

Man Defense Target Share and Fantasy Points Per a Target

Zone Defense Target Share and Fantasy Points Per a Target

Key takeaways from the Man graph:
• This could be the week CeeDee Lamb managers have been waiting for. CeeDee gets a dream Man coverage matchup with the Detroit Lions. With Dak Prescott back I expect him to attack through Lamb most of the day. Dallas isn’t going to want to hold anything back in getting Prescott back up to speed and getting him plenty of reps with the ball in his hands.
• Another player who I see continuing to build on his previous weeks and in a good matchup with Darnell Mooney. I can see Mooney getting to 10 half PPR points and returning great flex value in a week filled with strong players on bye. Mooney seems to have put his early season woes behind him and is ready to be an every game contributor in the Bears offense.

Key takeaways from the Zone graph:
• Expect Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce and Juju Smith-Schuster to all have solid games against the Zone heavy 49ers defense. Juju has always been a great intermediate guy and we know Kelce owns the seams and middle of the field. Expect this to be exploited in a potential high scoring affair.
• The Buccaneers and Panthers face off in a matchup of two bottom third Man coverage playing team. That being said I have no confidence in any Panthers WR to do anything of value even though DJ Moore does own a 23% target share against the Zone. On the flip side, I fully expect Tom Brady to have a big day. If I had to choose one Tampa Bay WR to lead in fantasy points this week it’s Chris Godwin.

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