Posted by Matt Olson

Week 5 Player Prop & ATS Bets

October 9, 2022

Player Props

Zach’s Pick: Nick Chubb o89.5 Rushing Yards
Chargers are middle of the pack at stopping the run. Chubb is elite. I like Chubb to over 100 rushing yards for the third straight week.

Matt’s Pick: Lamar Jackson o56.5 Rushing Yards
Jackson’s mean rushing yards for his career are 65 and he has ran past this in every game but Week 1 this year. I expect this to be a decently high scoring game with big plays throughout – all we need is one of them to be a Jackson rush.

Zachary’s Pick: Kareem Hunt – o48.5 Rushing Yards
The Chargers are without Bosa, and have not been great against the run for a long time now. Cleveland is going to do exactly what they did against the Jets and put up massive rushing numbers.

Against the Spread

Zach’s Pick: San Francisco 49ers -6.5
The Niner defense is going to make Baker Mayfield’s life a living Hell on Sunday. Jeff Wilson and Deebo Samuel will run all over this Panthers defense. Niners win this one by double digits.

Matt’s Pick: Philadelphia Eagles -3 First Half
I’d like to not overthink this. The Eagles are the NFL’s best first half team averaging 23 points. They’ve averaged 22.7 over their last three and have been averaging more first half points away than at home; 24 vs 22. Talk about absolute consistency. The other scenario we have here is that the Cardinals are dead last in first half scoring, averaging 4 points a game. They’ve averaged 3 points in the first half over their last three and at home average a whole 6.5 points at home. This offense has just taken a significant amount of time ito get going. We look to take advantage of this and see the Eagles cruise before that potential Cardinals fourth quarter comeback.

Zachary’s Pick: New York Giants +8
I fully expect the Packers to win this game. However, last week they were taken to overtime by a rookie fourth round pick who had never played under center in college. Brian Daboll has found a way to squeak 3 wins out of this Giants team, and you never know what is going to happen in London. Give me the points.

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