Posted by Matt Olson

Three Bold but Reasonable Predictions for Week 5

October 8, 2022

Let’s quickly recap last week’s predictions:
1. Darnell Mooney will “break out” – WIN
2. Jamaal Williams will score three touchdowns – Close Enough
3. Kyle Pitts will double his career touchdown total – No Comment

This is the Travis Etienne break out week.

Do you know who has the highest percentage of runs that goes for less than 1 yard? It’s James Robinson – 32.2%! The Jags love James Robinson. I like James Robinson. But Travis Etienne is the more explosive running back. That’s not debatable. This is the week the Jags get ETN going against a bad Texans team at home. Last week, JRob and ETN got the same amount of carries in a very sloppy game against the Eagles where Trevor Lawrence had 5 turnovers. This week will be a bounce back week and Etienne will have his first career touchdown. Maybe two touchdowns, but let’s start with one. The Texans have given up the second most rushing yards and the fourth most rushing touchdowns on the season.

Gabe Davis will bounce back in a big way.

I was very high on Gabe Davis coming into this year. Week 1 made me feel like a genius. Since then, my love of Davis has been dwindling. There’s excuses though. He was hurt, then he wasn’t 100%. But now? He’s back. He has been practicing in full this week and the ankle is seemingly healed. The Steelers secondary is hurting. Almost the entire secondary is on the injury report. This game is ripe for a Bills explosion against a rookie QB and a banged up secondary. I’m predicting 100 yards and a touchdown for Big Game Gabe. He’s back and his ankle is back.

Damien Harris and Rhamondre Stevenson will both run for over 100 yards.

The Lions defense has given up the most rushing touchdowns and the third most rushing yards this season. The Patriots are either rolling out a hobbled Mac Jones or Bailey Zappe at quarterback. They are going to have to lean on their running game even more than usual. What better game to do that than at home against the Detroit Lions. The Patriots will also want to keep the EXPLOSIVE Lions offense off the field. Harris and Stevenson have both had solid seasons so far. Harris has a touchdown in 3 straight weeks and both RBs are averaging over 4.5 yards per carry. This game is ripe for a Patriot rushing attack explosion.

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