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Three Bold But Reasonable Predictions for Week 4

Darnell Mooney will “break out”.

Mooney is very squarely on your bench, or even on your waiver wire, by now. The Bears pass offense has been downright abysmal. Chalk Week 1 up to the weather, but since then there’s been no excuse. Now I’m not saying put him back in your starting lineup, but he may be worth a flier in your DFS lineup this week. The Bears might not trust Justin Fields and Fields doesn’t trust his reads. Read more on that here from Mark Schofield.

But this is the week Justin Fields and Darnell Mooney connect on a long pass play. Mooney garnered 6 targets in Week 3, which accounted for a 35% target share. Look for the Giants to sell out to stop the run this week after being gashed by the Cowboys on the ground in Week 3. Ceedee Lamb just had a big game that should have been even bigger against this Giants secondary. Mooney is going to get loose on a deep ball in Week 4. If you believe it, it will happen or something like that.

Kyle Pitts will double his career touchdown total.

The Cleveland Browns have given up 6 catches to Tyler Conklin, a long catch to Ian Thomas, and 41 yards to Pat Freiermuth (blame Mitch). They aren’t exactly Tight End stoppers. The Falcons offense has been pretty good thus far behind Marcus Mariota and Cordarrelle Patterson. Drake London is also off to a nice start to his rookie year. Through 3 weeks, it is evident that opposing defenses have to worry about more than Kyle Pitts on the Falcons offense. For that reason, Pitts will score not one, but two touchdowns against the Browns. After the Rams game where Pitts only had two catches, Head Coach Arthur Smith said “The ball will find him” in reference to his star tight end. The ball did indeed find him in Week 3 to the tune of 5 catches on 8 targets for 87 yards. We are going above and beyond that stat line in Week 4.

Jamaal Williams will score three touchdowns.

Find you someone that loves you as much as the Detroit Lions love Jamaal Williams. One of the best personalities in the league, Williams has a pair of multi touchdown games in the first three weeks of the season. Now D’Andre Swift is out for a couple weeks at least, so the backfield presumably belongs to Williams. The Seahawks have given up the second most rushing yards and third most touchdowns in the league through three weeks. The Lions have been explosive on offense thus far and Williams is their clear goal line running back, even when Swift is healthy. One final note – the Lions are scoring a TD on 84.62% of their Red Zone trips through 3 games.

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