Posted by Matt Olson

Week 2 Player Props & ATS Bets

September 17, 2022

Each week the staff is going to put an article out about our favorite Player Prop and our Against the Spread bets. Below are our picks for this week.

Player Props

Zach’s Pick: Curtis Samuel over 43.5 Receiving Yards
Curtis Samuel played 71% of the Commanders’ offensive snaps and received 12 combined touches (8 catches on 11 targets and 4 carries). He was Deebo-lite in Week 1. This week he gets a Lions defense that just gave up 38 points to the Eagles. I expect this game to be another back and forth, high scoring affair. I really like Samuel going over 50 yards receiving again as he looks fully healthy for the first time in years.

Matt’s Pick: Trey Lance o38.5 Rushing Yards
There’s a lot going for Lance heading in to Week 2 that’ll help this prop hot. San Fran just lost their starting running back and turns to Jeff Wilson who no one seems to want to trust this year. I believe a big reason of that is Lance. Lance ran for a smooth 54 yards on 13 carries. It was certainly an odd game in Chicago but the eye test shows Lance still isn’t fully comfortable behind center. He rushed his throws, his feet weren’t set and that bodes well for him taking off regularly from the pocket in Week 2. Another week without Kittle keeps only one playmaker on the field in Deebo Samuel. While he can do it all I think San Francisco allows Lance to do what he does best: unintelligently breakdown a play and then take off. When Lance goes through his reads and finds nothing he panics and runs even when he shouldn’t.

Against the Spread

Zach’s Pick: Cincinnati Bengals -7 @ Dallas Cowboys
This one has a real chance to get ugly fast. Joe Burrow is looking to put Week 1 far behind in the rear view mirror, while the Cowboys will be trotting out Cooper Rush at quarterback. Sure, Rush won his one start last year against the Vikings, but this is a Bengals team that will be out to prove that they are still serious contenders. I just don’t see how the Cowboys will be able to keep up with Burrow, Chase, and company especially if Kellen Moore comes out with the same conservative game plan he had in Week 1 against the Bucs. Mike McCarthy is a bottom 3 Head Coach in the league and is allergic to adjustments. I just don’t see this one being close. Bills -9.5 at home against the Titans was my second choice.

Matt’s Pick: Arizona Cardinals +5.5 @ Las Vegas Raiders
Maybe I’m just flat out missing something here but Carr didn’t look great last Sunday. This Cardinals team still has a very serviceable defense and a offense that can put up numbers. Vegas -5.5 just seems like too much even given how Arizona was murdered last week. Mahomes got a bit lucky, he didn’t pick apart the Cardinals. Additionally Arizona is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. Vegas, both team and books, will help them get back on track. Some might use this as a reason to fade the Cardinals but I think it’s a reason to get them.

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